Well, three days til I leave for KC and things are looking a little different. This morning's 12z GFS looked absolutely horrendous. Depressing even. Flow is all but gone throughout the whole period. Honestly, I think the GFS is underplaying the flow, as the trajectory associated with the trough would probably allude to greater flow than is progged.
The 12z ECMWF however is more encouraging. It appears to be moving the system in question a smidge further east than the GFS, something that obviously would work in our favor. Hopefully that is a trend that can continue. It also shies away from keeping monster ridge in place for an extended period of time. Also very good. The off hour 18z GFS appears to be coming on board with this EC solution. Hopefully it can continue to move east and kill that ridge in subsequent runs. We shall see.
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